Montana State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
363  Michael Asay JR 32:36
430  Jacob Kirk JR 32:46
481  Seth Garbett JR 32:53
499  Cristian Soratos JR 32:55
776  Trevor Polson JR 33:26
1,045  Jakob Woodland FR 33:50
1,093  Forrest Jarvi SR 33:55
1,198  Zachary Kughn FR 34:03
National Rank #82 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #12 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.8%
Top 10 in Regional 30.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Asay Jacob Kirk Seth Garbett Cristian Soratos Trevor Polson Jakob Woodland Forrest Jarvi Zachary Kughn
Montana Invitational 09/28 879 32:34 33:01 33:08 31:58 32:34 33:08 34:04 33:19
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 888 33:04 32:46 32:46 31:46 33:37 33:09 35:08
Big Sky Championships 10/27 1016 32:18 32:48 33:07 33:41 33:49 35:08 33:46 33:39
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 984 32:29 32:32 32:40 34:03 33:20 34:04 34:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.0 282 0.8 1.9 3.7 4.5 8.0 11.0 19.1 34.7 13.6 2.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Asay 43.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4
Jacob Kirk 49.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seth Garbett 54.0 0.0
Cristian Soratos 55.5 0.0
Trevor Polson 72.6
Jakob Woodland 84.8
Forrest Jarvi 87.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.8% 0.8 5
6 1.9% 1.9 6
7 3.7% 3.7 7
8 4.5% 4.5 8
9 8.0% 8.0 9
10 11.0% 11.0 10
11 19.1% 19.1 11
12 34.7% 34.7 12
13 13.6% 13.6 13
14 2.6% 2.6 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0